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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+102/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect D'Andre Swift to garner 14.4 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • D'Andre Swift has been given 55.2% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 42.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • D'Andre Swift's 37.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a remarkable drop-off in his running skills over last season's 54.0 mark.
  • D'Andre Swift's running effectiveness (3.29 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (15th percentile when it comes to RBs).
  • D'Andre Swift is positioned as one of the weakest RBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.16 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 5th percentile.

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