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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 46.0% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • In this game, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among RBs with 13.1 carries.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • D'Andre Swift has been much less involved in his offense's running game this year (49.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (62.1%).
  • This year, the poor Packers run defense has given up a staggering 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 31st-largest rate in the NFL.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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