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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Bears as the 4th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 137.6 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 62.1 per game on average).
  • D'Andre Swift has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect D'Andre Swift to be a less important option in his team's ground game in this week's contest (36.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.7% in games he has played).
  • This year, the weak Browns run defense has surrendered a staggering 3.99 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 26th-worst rate in football.
  • The Cleveland defensive ends profile as the best DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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