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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 10th-most run-focused offense in football (41.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bears.
  • The most plays in football have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a massive 61.8 per game on average).
  • D'Andre Swift has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
  • D'Andre Swift's ground effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.62 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.
  • While D'Andre Swift has accounted for 49.5% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Chicago's rushing attack in this week's game at 39.2%.
  • D'Andre Swift ranks as one of the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.77 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.

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