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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 27.84 seconds per snap.
  • D'Andre Swift has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
  • D'Andre Swift's ground effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.62 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • While D'Andre Swift has accounted for 49.5% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Chicago's rushing attack in this week's game at 39.2%.
  • D'Andre Swift ranks as one of the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.77 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.
  • The Packers defense has had the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 3.80 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's safety corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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