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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears have been the 10th-most run-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 41.2% run rate.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.2 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • With an outstanding rate of 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (85th percentile), D'Andre Swift has been among the top pure rushers in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Bears being an enormous -7-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • While D'Andre Swift has garnered 51.3% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Chicago's rushing attack in this week's contest at 40.3%.
  • With an atrocious record of 2.55 yards after contact (13th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates among the easiest-to-tackle RBs in the NFL.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's unit has been very good this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

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