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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-102/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 45.0% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • At just 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to accumulate 14.4 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Out of all running backs, D'Andre Swift grades out in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 53.0% of the workload in his team's run game.
  • With an excellent total of 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (89th percentile), D'Andre Swift stands among the best pure rushers in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a very bad rate of 2.61 yards after contact (20th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the worst running backs in the NFL.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 4.19 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's DE corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

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