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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • With an exceptional 48.1% Route Participation% (83rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the league.
  • In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is expected by the projections to finish in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • D'Andre Swift's 75.4% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 82.9% mark.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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