reorder

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.

The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile among running backs.

With a sizeable 10.1% Target Share (83rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

D'Andre Swift's 74.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a significant decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 82.9% rate.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's safety corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

D'Andre Swift ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 16