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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+101/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect D'Andre Swift to garner 4.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.
  • D'Andre Swift's 76.8% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 82.8% figure.
  • This year, the stout Vikings defense has conceded a measly 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

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