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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New York Giants

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • The Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.
  • With an impressive 11.0% Target Share (85th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 51.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 22-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • D'Andre Swift's 76.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a significant drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 82.8% figure.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's group of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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