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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.0 @ +113 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears last year (a massive 58.9 per game on average).

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) last year.

D'Andre Swift has run a route on 51.6% of his offense's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to total 3.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to pass on 57.9% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.5%) vs. running backs last year (80.5%).

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

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