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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.7 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect D'Andre Swift to earn 3.7 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • D'Andre Swift has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 12.0% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 58.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Chicago Bears.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • D'Andre Swift has notched a feeble -7.0 air yards per game this year: just 8th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • D'Andre Swift's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 82.8% to 74.3%.
  • D'Andre Swift's 5.7 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a noteworthy decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 7.0 figure.

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