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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 140.1 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The predictive model expects D'Andre Swift to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • D'Andre Swift has been an integral part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 13.2% this year, which ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • With an excellent 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (84th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift has been among the best pass-game RBs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Saints defense this year: 7th-fewest in football.
  • When talking about air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the lowly 10th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -7.0 per game.

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