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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to accrue 4.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
  • D'Andre Swift has been an integral part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 13.8% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Washington's safety corps has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the paltry 12th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.
  • D'Andre Swift has posted a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (21.0).
  • D'Andre Swift's 74.5% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a substantial decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 82.9% figure.
  • D'Andre Swift's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a measly 4.07 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.05 rate last season.
  • D'Andre Swift's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates an impressive reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 9.6% figure.

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