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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call 68.8 offensive plays in this game: the most among all teams this week.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).
  • D'Andre Swift has run a route on 48.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • The model projects D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 53.8% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • D'Andre Swift has posted a paltry -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile among running backs.
  • D'Andre Swift's 15.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year shows a noteable drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 21.0 figure.
  • D'Andre Swift's 76.6% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a significant decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 83.0% figure.

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