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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • At just 28.00 seconds per snap, the Bears offense has been the 6th-quickest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect D'Andre Swift to notch 3.1 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears rank as the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.7% pass rate.
  • As it relates to air yards, D'Andre Swift ranks in just the 10th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -4.0 per game.
  • D'Andre Swift's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a significant reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 21.0 figure.
  • D'Andre Swift's 75.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 83.0% mark.
  • D'Andre Swift's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 5.49 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.06 mark last year.

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