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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The most plays in football have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a massive 61.8 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.
  • D'Andre Swift has run a route on 48.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • In this contest, D'Andre Swift is expected by the model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.0 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (59.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Bears.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When talking about air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the lowly 18th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.
  • D'Andre Swift has posted significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (21.0).
  • D'Andre Swift's 73.2% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteable decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 82.8% figure.

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