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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).

The model projects D'Andre Swift to accumulate 13.2 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Out of all running backs, D'Andre Swift grades out in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts since the start of last season, making up 62.3% of the workload in his team's run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

A passing game script is implied by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 39.2% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Bears to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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