|
|
D'Andre Swift Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
With a 3-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run on 46.2% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call 68.8 offensive plays in this game: the most among all teams this week.The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is predicted by the model to land in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.2 rush attempts.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).After accounting for 62.1% of his offense's rush attempts last year, D'Andre Swift has been called on less the rushing attack this year, now comprising only 49.2%.As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
