Damien Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Damien Harris

NFL · Player Props

Damien Harris

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Damien Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-118/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have used some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Damien Harris has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this season (41.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (52.1%).
Damien Harris has run for many fewer yards per game (45.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).
The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 4.36 yards-per-carry.

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