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Damien Harris
NFL · Player Props
Damien Harris
RB · New England Patriots
Receiving Yards
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:25 PM UTC
NFL Props Damien Harris Receiving Yards

Damien Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Favors Over
  • Damien Harris has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a terrific 91.2% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (42.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 60.3 plays per game.
  • Damien Harris has accumulated a mere 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 24th percentile among RBs.
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