Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-104/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.40 seconds per snap.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to accumulate 17.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has garnered 75.0% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has averaged 80.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in football among RBs (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 35.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have run for the 7th-least yards in football (just 93 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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