Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

My Account Log Out

reorder

Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Texans are an enormous 17.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 69.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 136.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.
Dameon Pierce has notched a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among running backs.
The Houston Texans offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Dameon Pierce has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among RBs, averaging a measly 4.32 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 10th percentile.
Dameon Pierce has been among the weakest RBs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.

More Dameon Pierce Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow