Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 76.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 73.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to notch 17.8 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Dalvin Cook has earned 73.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (89.0).
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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