Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accrue 17.0 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has received 76.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for substantially fewer yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best DT corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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