Dalvin Cook Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing TD

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dalvin Cook has received 57.2% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in run blocking.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for 0.67 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (94th percentile).
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-least run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 40.1% red zone run rate.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 5th-least touchdowns in football (0.56 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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