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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
  • Dalvin Cook's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 78.6% to 84.6%.
  • Dalvin Cook's ability to grind out extra yardage has been refined this season, totaling 9.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 7.94 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Dalvin Cook has compiled a puny -7.0 air yards per game this year: just 2nd percentile among running backs.
  • Dalvin Cook's 8.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 14.4.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.26 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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