Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
Dalvin Cook has notched a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among running backs.
The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Dalvin Cook has been among the worst possession receivers in football among RBs, hauling in a measly 77.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

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