Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to call the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Dalvin Cook has run a route on 53.8% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

Dalvin Cook has compiled a meager -6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 1st percentile among running backs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, yielding 5.43 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.30 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-least in football.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.