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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accumulate 16.9 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
  • Dalvin Cook has earned 75.1% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 6th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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