Dalvin Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accumulate 16.9 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has earned 75.1% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 6th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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