My Account Log Out

reorder

Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Dalton Schultz Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-445).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -430 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -445.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Houston Texans to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

With an extraordinary 10.5% Red Zone Target Share (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Schultz rates among the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.

In regards to air yards, Dalton Schultz ranks in the lofty 92nd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 39.0 per game.

Dalton Schultz places in the 84th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a massive 34.5 mark since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Texans are a huge 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 55.3% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

More Dalton Schultz Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™