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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.2 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (38.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Dalton Schultz has run a route on 77.2% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.

In this contest, Dalton Schultz is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive approach to lean 5.1% more towards the ground game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nick Caley now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Houston offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

Dalton Schultz grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a mere 62.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile.

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