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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to notch 6.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Dalton Schultz's 40.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 34.5.
  • Dalton Schultz's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a remarkable boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 3.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Raiders pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.4%) vs. TEs this year (72.4%).

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