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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-146/+129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +138 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans may throw the ball less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Davis Mills.
  • The projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Dalton Schultz is expected by the projection model to slot into the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.9 targets.
  • Dalton Schultz's 39.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 34.5.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.4 per game) this year.

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