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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The most plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 63.2 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • In this week's contest, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 78th percentile among tight ends with 3.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Dalton Schultz's 24.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 34.7.
  • Dalton Schultz's receiving performance has diminished this season, compiling a measly 2.5 adjusted catches vs 3.9 last season.
  • Dalton Schultz's 61.8% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a noteable decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 70.0% rate.
  • This year, the strong Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered a meager 58.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

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