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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Texans have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • With an impressive 77.2% Route Participation Rate (89th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz stands among the TEs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • This week, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Texans being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 28.3 per game) this year.
  • The Texans O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Dalton Schultz's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, averaging just 2.8 adjusted catches vs 3.9 last year.

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