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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-124/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (62.2% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Texans.
  • The model projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.53 seconds per play.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • In this week's game, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 94th percentile among tight ends with 7.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Texans offensive approach to skew 5.1% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nick Caley now calling the plays.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • With a bad 6.7 adjusted yards per target (22nd percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates among the bottom tight ends in the pass game in the league.
  • Dalton Schultz's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.94 rate last season.

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