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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-111/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans rank as the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) last year with a 63.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 132.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With an exceptional 77.5% Route Participation Rate (86th percentile) last year, Dalton Schultz stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

This week, Dalton Schultz is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.7 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Texans offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

Dalton Schultz rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching a mere 61.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 4th percentile.

Dalton Schultz checks in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging a measly 5.91 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 12th percentile.

The Rams pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.7%) to TEs last year (72.7%).

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