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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.8% pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Dalton Schultz to total 5.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
  • This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has surrendered a monstrous 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 5th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.
  • After accumulating 45.0 air yards per game last season, Dalton Schultz has posted significant losses this season, now averaging 34.0 per game.
  • Dalton Schultz's 28.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 34.7.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Dalton Schultz's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a meaningful regression in his receiving talent over last year's 41.0 figure.

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