Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 6, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The most plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 63.2 per game on average).
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
In this week's contest, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 78th percentile among tight ends with 3.8 targets.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
After accumulating 45.0 air yards per game last season, Dalton Schultz has seen a big decline this season, currently averaging 32.0 per game.
Dalton Schultz's 24.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 34.7.
Dalton Schultz has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (20.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
Dalton Schultz's 61.8% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a noteable decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 70.0% rate.

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