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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Texans to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to garner 6.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Dalton Schultz has compiled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

Dalton Schultz's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 70.0% to 60.9%.

Dalton Schultz's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a mere 5.85 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.40 mark last year.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's group of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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