Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-136/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.
Our trusted projections expect Dalton Schultz to total 7.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
With a sizeable 18.6% Target Share (91st percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.
Dalton Schultz has compiled a massive 44.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
With a remarkable 43.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (88th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz places among the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive blueprint to tilt 1.3% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
The projections expect the Texans to run the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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