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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +235 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dalton Kincaid has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which places him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Dalton Kincaid has accumulated a whopping 47.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 39.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for TEs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 83.6% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteable improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 62.0% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 121.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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