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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-330).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -265 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -330.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Dalton Kincaid has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.

As it relates to air yards, Dalton Kincaid ranks in the towering 95th percentile among TEs this year, accruing an astounding 47.0 per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 39.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 91st percentile for TEs.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.

The Falcons pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.7%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (69.7%).

This year, the formidable Atlanta Falcons defense has given up a measly 0.00 passing touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the smallest rate in football.

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