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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-390).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -390.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.3 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • Dalton Kincaid has accrued a whopping 39.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 80.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a substantial growth in his receiving skills over last season's 62.0% mark.
  • Dalton Kincaid grades out in the 90th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.38 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league in the red zone (48.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 35.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 43.0.

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