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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the most TDs through the air in the NFL to TEs: 1.08 per game this year.
  • The Bengals linebackers profile as the worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 45.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 6th-most TDs in the NFL (1.17 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.

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