My Account Log Out
 
 
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dalton Kincaid's 39.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for TEs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
  • With an excellent 3.3 adjusted receptions per game (79th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid stands among the leading TE receiving threats in football.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 83.6% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteable improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 62.0% rate.
  • This year, the shaky Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 121.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™