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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.3 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to earn 4.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Dalton Kincaid comes in as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a stellar 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 80.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a substantial growth in his receiving skills over last season's 62.0% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 35.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 43.0.

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