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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 82nd percentile among tight ends with 5.2 targets.

Dalton Kincaid has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 18.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Dalton Kincaid ranks as one of the best pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

The New York Jets safeties project as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

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