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Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Dalton Kincaid is projected by the projection model to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.9 targets.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

Dalton Kincaid grades out as one of the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 3.3 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

Dalton Kincaid's 81.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 62.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Dalton Kincaid's 37.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 43.0.

The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

Dalton Kincaid ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 15